Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers - 10/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers - 10/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Lions (2-1-1) at Green Bay Packers (4-1)

NFL Football: Monday, October 14, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Lambeau Field)

The Line: Green Bay Packers -4 -- Over/Under: 45

TV: ESPN

The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers meet Monday in NFL action at Lambeau Field.

The Detroit Lions look to build on their 2-1-1 record and are coming off a bye week. The Detroit Lions haven’t lost four of their last five road games. Matthew Stafford is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 1,122 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 12 games. Marvin Jones Jr. and Kenny Golladay have combined for 520 receiving yards and five touchdowns while T.J. Hockenson has 11 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 251 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 23.8 points and 405.5 yards per game. Tracy Walker leads the Detroit Lions with 36 tackles, Devon Kennard has three sacks and Darius Slay has one interception.

The Green Bay Packers look to protect home field while building on their impressive 4-1 start. The Green Bay Packers have won five of their last eight home games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,307 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Rodgers has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 15 games. Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling have combined for 613 receiving yards and one touchdown while Aaron Jones has 19 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 302 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 18.6 points and 376.8 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 55 tackles, Preston Smith has 5.5 sacks and Kevin King has two interceptions.

The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North. The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the favorite is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings. The over is 24-11 in Packers last 35 vs. NFC. The under is 8-3 in Lions last 11 games overall.

The Detroit Lions have covered five of their last seven games as a road underdog. The Green Bay Packers have split their last 10 games as a home favorite. The Lions have won each of the last four meetings against the Packers overall and three of their last four trips at Lambeau Field. The Lions have also had an extra week to prepare for this game and are playing some of their best football in recent memory, so there's good reason to consider the points. However, outside of the game against the Eagles where the defense refused to show up, the Packers have been highly impressive on both sides of the ball and probably one of the more consistent teams through the first few weeks of the season. I like what I'm seeing from these Packers, and while the Lions are playing well i their own right, I'll still take the home team by a touchdown.

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Randy’s Pick Green Bay Packers -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.