Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans (3-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Texans and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in a week 6 NFL matchup from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Houston Texans will look to build on a 53-32 win over Atlanta in their last outing. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 1,364 yards, 11 touchdowns and an interception on 69.2% passing while Carlos Hyde leads the Texans in rushing with 310 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Will Fuller V leads Houston’s receiving corps with 400 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while DeAndre Hopkins has a team-high 31 grabs for 347 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Defensively, Benardrick McKinney, Justin Reid and Zach Cunningham are all tied for the team-high with 41 total tackles while Whitney Mercilus has 5 sacks and J.J. Watt is right behind with 4 sacks this season. As a team, Houston is averaging 381.8 yards of total offense and 26.2 points per game while allowing 365.4 yards of total defense and 22 points per game against this season.

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The Kansas City Chiefs will look to rebound from their first loss of the season after a 19-13 loss to Indianapolis last time out. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,831 yards and 11 touchdowns on 65.6% passing while LeSean McCoy leads the Chiefs in rushing with 214 rushing yards and a pair of rushing touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads the Chiefs with 439 receiving yards and 28 receptions while Sammy Watkins has 23 grabs for 365 yards and 3 touchdowns and Demarcus Robinson also has 3 receiving TDs with 281 yards on 17 catches. Defensively, Damien Wilson leads the Chiefs with 35 total tackles including a team-high 25 solo tackles while Emmanuel Ogbah has a team-high 2.5 sacks this year. As a team, Kansas City is averaging

Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the AFC while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record while the over is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

Kansas City being favored at home makes a world of sense as Arrowhead is a tough place to go on the road and hang let alone win. However, Patrick Mahomes is dealing with an ankle issue from that loss to the Colts, and while I won’t say it’s going to ruin his game here, I just think it doesn’t help when you have to take on a Texans defense featuring Whitney Mercilus and J.J. Watt that are going to force you to move around and make plays on the move. I think this one is either an outright Texans W or at worst a loss by a field goal, so I’ll take my points with Houston here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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