Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (4-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00 pm (TIAA Bank Field)

The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +1 -- Over/Under: 44

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The New Orleans Saints and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in NFL action at TIAA Bank Field.

The New Orleans Saints look for a solid road victory to build on their three-game winning streak. The New Orleans Saints have won eight of their last 10 games. Teddy Bridgewater is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 849 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Bridgewater has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 784 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has 14 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 104.4 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 342 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 23.2 points and 363.4 yards per game. Vonn Bell leads the New Orleans Saints with 35 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has three sacks and Marcus Williams has two interceptions.

The Jacksonville Jaguars need a feel good home victory here to get back to a .500 record. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four of their last six home games. Gardner Minshew is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,279 yards, nine touchdowns and one interception. Minshew has two touchdown passes in four of his first five games. DJ Chark and Chris Conley have combined for 728 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Dede Westbrook has 23 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 138 yards per contest, and Leonard Fournette leads the way with 512 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 23.6 points and 382 yards per game. Ronnie Harrison leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 35 tackles, Calais Campbell has three sacks and D.J. Hayden has four pass deflections.

The Saints are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games, 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games in October and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 home games. The under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 road games.

The New Orleans Saints have covered seven of their last 10 games as a road favorite. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-4-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdog. The Saints are finding ways to win games, but they've been in nothing but dogfights and th average margin of victory during their three-game winning streak is 4.6 points. The Jacksonville Jaguars are another team that finds ways to hang around, and they'd have a three-game winning streak of their own if they didn't turn the ball over three times against the Carolina Panthers. The Jags are a team that's growing on me, and that defense could give the Saints some problems, especially with their pass protection being hit or miss. In a toss-up game between two teams that are in it until the end, I'll give the slight edge to Jacksonville at home.


Randy’s Pick Jacksonville Jaguars +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.