Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/13/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans (3-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -4 -- Over/Under: 55

TV: CBS

The Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Houston Texans look for another victory after winning three of their last four games. The Houston Texans have won six of their last eight road games. Deshaun Watson is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 1,364 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 14 games. Will Fuller V and DeAndre Hopkins have combined for 747 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 11 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 129.4 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 310 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 22 points and 365.4 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 41 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has five sacks and Tashaun Gipson has one interception.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for a bounce back performance after losing their first game to the Indianapolis Colts. The Kansas City Chiefs have won eight of their last 10 home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 1,831 yards, 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mahomes has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 16 games. Travis Kelce and Sammy Watkins have combined for 804 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Demarcus Robinson has 17 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 88.6 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 214 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.6 points and 393 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 35 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Frank Clark has one interception.

The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC and 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games overall.

The Houston Texans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a rod underdog. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a home favorite. The Texans are starting to play consistent football and have shown they can take their game to another level on the road, as they went toe-to-toe with the Saints in the season opener and beat the Chargers by a touchdown a couple of weeks ago. The Kansas City Chiefs have been shaky the last couple of weeks and enter this game with a banged up Mahomes, while Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill remain questionable. In terms of value, I'll take the healthier team and the free points.

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Randy’s Pick Houston Texans +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.