New York Giants at New England Patriots - 10/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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New York Giants (2-3) at New England Patriots (5-0)
NFL Football: Thursday, October 10, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -16.5 -- Over/Under: 42.5
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The New York Giants and the New England Patriots will match up on the NFL circuit Thursday.
The Giants enter this one at 2-3 so far. New York started out with losses 35-17 to the Cowboys and 28-14 to the Bills, but then got on track 32-31 over the Buccaneers and 24-3 against the Redskins before falling 28-10 to the Vikings.
In the loss to Minnesota, New York QB Daniel Jones posted 182 yards, one TD and one INT, and Jon Hilliman added 20 rush yards. Darius Slayton had 62 yards and a TD as well.
Over on the Patriots’ side, they’re 5-0 this year. New England has so far dispatched the Steelers 33-3, the Dolphins 43-0, the Jets 30-14, the Bills 16-10 and the Redskins 33-7.
In the Redskins win, Patriots QB Tom Brady posted 348 yards, three scores and one INT, and Sony Michel had 91 yards and a TD. Julian Edelman caught eight balls for 110 yards and a score there as well.
The Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after an ATS loss. New York is 1-4 ATS in their last five on turf and the over is 4-0 in their last four road games.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight on turf. New England is 39-15-2 ATS in their last 56 in October and 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
The Giants have had some bad luck with injuries to their running backs this year; first Saquon Barkley (who in all likelihood won’t be ready to go here) and now Wayne Gallman (who got a concussion last weekend) will be out as well.
That means a rookie QB and some very inexperienced RBs going up against a tough Patriots defense, and I don’t see any way the Giants will get close here. Still, that line is mighty thick, so I’m tempted to take New York to get in there. The whole situation just seems like a yellow caution light, though. I'm going to pick the Giants solely because of that line, but I have almost zero confidence they can get close. You could easily make a case to just give the points and take the thus-far dominant Pats.