New England Patriots vs. New York Giants - 10/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants - 10/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

New York Giants (2-3) at New England Patriots (5-0)

NFL Football: Thursday, October 10, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots +17 -- Over/Under: 44

TV: FOX, NFL

The New York Giants and New England Patriots meet Thursday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium.

The New York Giants need a statement road victory here to get back to a .500 record. The New York Giants have lost five of their last eight road games. Daniel Jones is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 760 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Jones enters this game with 109 career pass attempts under his belt. Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard have combined for 640 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Darius Slayton has nine receptions. The New York Giants ground game is averaging 116 yards per contest, and Saquon Barkley leads the way with 237 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New York is allowing 25 points and 409.4 yards per game. Antoine Bethea leads the New York Giants with 40 tackles, Markus Golden has 4.5 sacks and Ryan Connelly has two interceptions.

The New England Patriots look for another victory to improve to 6-0 for the first time since 2015. The New England Patriots have won each of their last 15 home games. Tom Brady is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,409 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 12 games. Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon have combined for 616 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 15 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 99 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 262 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 6.8 points and 238.4 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 27 tackles, Chase Winovich has four sacks and Devin McCourty has four interceptions.

The Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games and 43-19 ATS in their last 62 games overall. The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.

The New York Giants have covered each of their last six games as a double-digit underdog. The New England Patriots have covered 10 of their last 13 games when a double-digit favorite. Thursday night games have been kind to the underdogs all season and it's just tough to lay this many points between two teams on short rest where these games have a tendency to be sloppy. The Giants aren't nearly as bad as most of the teams the Patriots have beaten up on to this point and there's also the history of the Giants beating New England in three of the last four meetings, obviously with different rosters and quarterback, but still. I'll ride the hot hand of the underdogs covering on Thursdays. Give me the points.

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Randy’s Pick New York Giants +17

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.