Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers - 10/7/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports
Cleveland Browns (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-0)
NFL Football: Monday, October 7, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Levi's Stadium)
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -4 -- Over/Under: 47
The Cleveland Browns and San Francisco 49ers meet Monday in NFL action at Levi's Stadium.
The Cleveland Browns need a statement road win here to get a game above a .500 record. The Cleveland Browns have won four of their last six road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 59 percent of his passes for 1,147 yards, four touchdowns and six interceptions. Mayfield has three interceptions in three of his last eight games. Odell Beckham Jr.and Jarvis Landry have combined for 636 receiving yards and one touchdown while Damion Ratley has eight receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 115 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 398 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 22.8 points and 335 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with 43 tackles, Myles Garrett has six sacks and Devaroe Lawrence has one interception.
The San Francisco 49ers are fresh off a bye week and look for another win to improve to 4-0 on the season. The San Francisco 49ers have won four of their last six home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 69 percent of his passes for 739 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Garoppolo has nine touchdown passes in his last five games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 312 receiving yards and one touchdown while Marquise Goodwin has six receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 175 yards per contest, and Matt Breida leads the way with 226 yards on 41 carries. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 18 points and 283.3 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 19 tackles, Arik Armstead has two sacks and Richard Sherman has one interception.
The Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 7-18-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games in October. The 49ers are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 Monday games, 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 home games. The under is 4-1-1 in Browns last 6 games on grass.
The Cleveland Browns have covered seven of their last 11 games as a road underdog. The San Francisco 49ers have failed to cover each of their last 12 games as a home favorite. The 49ers haven't covered a home game as a favorite since their 2014 win over the Kansas City Chiefs. The 49ers are playing solid football and have had an extra week to prepare for this game. However, that ridiculous trend leans me in the direction of the Browns and the points. The Browns are also coming off their best performance of the season where they lit the Baltimore Ravens on fire, and they've actually played their best ball of the season on the road twice this year. Give me the points with the Browns.