Washington Redskins vs. New England Patriots - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Redskins vs. New England Patriots - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (4-0) at Washington Redskins (0-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm (FedEx Field)

The Line: Washington Redskins +15.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and Washington Redskins meet Sunday in NFL action at FedEx Field.

The New England Patriots look to start a season 5-0 for the first time since 2015. The New England Patriots have split their last 10 road games. Tom Brady is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,061 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last 11 games. Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon have combined for 447 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 15 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 91.3 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 171 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 6.8 points and 243 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 23 tackles, Chase Winovich has three sacks and Devin McCourty has four interceptions.

The Washington Redskins need a win here if they’re going to save their season and prevent a brutal 0-5 start. The Washington Redskins have lost each of their last six home games. Case Keenum is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 970 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Keenum has 10 touchdown passes in his last five games. Terry McLaurin and Chris Thompson have combined for 508 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Paul Richardson has 18 receptions. The Washington Redskins ground game is averaging 49.8 yards per contest, and Adrian Peterson leads the way with 90 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Washington is allowing 29.5 points and 399.3 yards per game. Landon Collins leads the Washington Redskins with 36 tackles, Cassanova McKinzy has one sack and Quinton Dunbar has two interceptions.

The Patriots are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games, 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games overall. The Redskins are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 5, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 home games. The under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games overall.

The New England Patriots have covered 14 of their last 18 games as a double-digit favorite. The Washington Redskins have covered six of their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Patriots may not have covered last week and could be 2-2 ATS on the season, but they've been nothing but money over the years as big favorites. The Washington Redskins seem to get worse by the week, as they started the season off competitive and ended up losing to the Giants last week by 21 points. This is a lot of chalk to eat and I'm not going to touch this game personally, but there's a lot of numbers and trends suggesting a comfortable victory for the road team.

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Randy’s Pick New England Patriots -15.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.