Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jonathan Dyer-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (3-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -3 -- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for a third road win to get a game above a .500 record. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have los seven of their last nine road games. Jameis Winston is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 1,167 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Winston has eight touchdown passes in his last three games. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 754 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while O.J. Howard has 10 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 113.3 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 234 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 29.3 points and 377.5 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 30 tackles, Shaquil Barrett has nine sacks and Vernon Hargreaves III has one interception.

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The New Orleans Saints look for another victory to keep pace in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints have won eight of their last nine home games. Teddy Bridgewater is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 535 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Bridgewater has been sacked seven times in three games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 560 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Ted Ginn Jr. has 12 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 280 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 23 points and 391.3 yards per game. Vonn Bell leads the New Orleans Saints with 31 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has three sacks and Marcus Williams has two interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Saints are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games in October, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The under is 9-4 in Saints last 13 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Buccaneers last 10 games overall.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover their last five games as a home favorite. The Buccaneers are coming off a surprise win over the Rams, so I guess that's why they're getting some respect from the oddsmakers here? I'm not buying it. The Buccaneers are possibly the most banged up team in the league right now and I still don't trust Winston on the road in hostile environments. The New Orleans Saints have played well without Brees on the field and Bridgewater is only going to get better the more reps he gets. This Saints defense is also going to give Winston a headache and force some mistakes. Laying the field goal with the Saints at home has to be one of the better bets on Sunday's card.

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Randy’s Pick New Orleans Saints -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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