New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

New York Jets (0-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)

The Line: Philadelphia Eagles -14.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5

TV: CBS

The New York Jets and Philadelphia Eagles meet Sunday in NFL action at Lincoln Financial Field.

The New York Jets are coming off a bye week and are looking fo their first win of the season. The New York Jets have lost seven of their last eight road games. Luke Falk is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 296 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception. New York Jets quarterbacks have been sacked 13 times through three games. Jamison Crowder and Le’Veon Bell have combined for 285 receiving yards and one touchdown while Robby Anderson has 10 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 65.7 yards per contest, and Bell leads the way with 163 yards on 56 carries. Defensively, New York is allowing 23.3 points and 375.3 yards per game. Darryl Roberts leads the New York Jets with 21 tackles, Neville Hewitt has two sacks and Jamal Adams has one interception.

The Philadelphia Eagles need a home victory here to get a game above a .500 record. The Philadelphia Eagles have split their last eight home games. Carson Wentz is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 963 yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. Wentz has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 14 games. Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor have combined for 423 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Desean Jackson has eight receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 118.8 yards per contest, and Josh Howard leads the way with 186 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 26.3 points and 385.8 yards per game. Rodney McLeod leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 23 tackles, Tim Jernigan has one sack and Sidney Jones has one interception.

The Jets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5 and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games in October. The over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games in October.

The New York Jets have failed to cover five of their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Philadelphia Eagles have failed to cover seven of their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. The Jets are awful and having a third-string quarterback start on the road isn't ideal. The good news is the Jets are coming off a bye week, so they've had extra time to prepare for this game and Falk should have picked up a ton of reps to get as ready as he could possibly be at this stage of his career. The Philadelphia Eagles also have had trouble in all four games this season, as every contest has come down to the wire, including opening week against the Washington  Redskins, who could be the second worst team in the league. I want the free touchdowns here.

Randy’s Pick New York Jets +14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.