Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis Colts (2-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-0)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -11 -- Over/Under: 56

TV: NBC

The Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Indianapolis Colts need a statement road win here to get a game above a .500 record. The Indianapolis Colts have won four of their last six road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 911 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in all four games this season. T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron have combined for 323 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Zach Pascal has six receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 132.5 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 338 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 25.5 points and 363 yards per game. Anthony Walker leads the Indianapolis Colts with 32 tackles, Denico Autry has 2.5 sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for another victory to improve to 5-0 on the season. The Kansas City Chiefs have won eight of their last nine home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,510 yards, 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mahomes has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 15 games. Travis Kelce and Sam Watkins have combined for 734 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Demarcus Robinson has 14 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 101.8 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 214 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 23.5 points and 408.5 yards per game. Kendall Fuller leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 29 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Frank Clark has one interception.

The Colts are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Kansas City and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 road games.

The Indianapolis Colts have split their last eight games ATS as a double-digit underdog. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover five of their last seven games as a double-digit favorite. The Colts enter this game as one of the more banged up teams in the league and are coming off a bad loss to the Oakland Raiders. However, it looks like TY Hilton and Darius Leonard are going to give it a go, which is positive news for the Colts. The Kansas City Chiefs are ridiculously talented, but their last two games were decided by a combined nine points and they haven't been good as double-digit favorites during this winning stretch that started last season. I'm taking the Colts and the points.

Randy’s Pick Indianapolis Colts +11

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.