Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (0-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 4:05 pm (Dignity Health Sports Park)

The Line: Los Angeles Chargers -6 -- Over/Under: 44.5

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers meet Sunday in NFL action at Dignity Health Sports.

The Denver Broncos need a win to save their season and prevent an 0-5 record. The Denver Broncos have lost each of their last four road games. Joe Flacco is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,076 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Flacco has one or less touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 697 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Noah Fant has 11 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 100.5 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 213 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 23.3 points and 349.3 yards per game. Josey Jewell leads the Denver Broncos with 27 tackles, Von Miller has two sacks and Justin Simmons has four pass deflections.

The Los Angeles Chargers need a big home victory here to get a game above a .500 record. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last six home games. Philip Rivers is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 1,254 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Rivers has three touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler have combined for 722 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Mike Williams has eight receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 103.5 yards per contest, and Ekeler leads the way with 220 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 18.5 points and 331 yards per game. Thomas Davis leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 38 tackles, Desmond King II has 2.5 sacks and Rayshawn Jenkins has one interception.

The Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC West and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West, 11-27-1 ATS in their last 39 home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Los Angeles and the road team is 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 meetings. The under is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 games overall. The under is 19-7-1 in Broncos last 27 games overall.

The Denver Broncos have failed to cover nine of their last 12 games as a road underdog. The Los Angeles Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. The Broncos have won seven of the last 10 meetings against the Chargers, and these AFC West games are often close no matter which teams are playing. The Chargers have been shaky at best out of the gate and a 20-point win over the Miami Dolphins doesn't move the needle. Two of the Broncos losses were decided by two points. I'll take the free touchdown with the Denver Broncos, if forced to pick this contest. 

Randy’s Pick Denver Broncos +6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.