Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans - 10/6/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills (3-1) at Tennessee Titans (2-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Nissan Stadium)

The Line: Tennessee Titans -3 -- Over/Under: 38.5

TV: CBS

The Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans meet Sunday in NFL action at Nissan Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look for their third road win to build on their surprising 3-1 record. The Buffalo Bills have lost five of their last eight road games. Josh Allen is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 903 yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions. Allen has one or less touchdown passes in 13 of his last 15 games. John Brown and Cole Beasley have combined for 561 receiving yards and one touchdown while Dawson Knox has eight receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 147.3 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 273 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 15.8 points and 280.3 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 30 tackles, Jerry Hughes has 1.5 sacks and Tre'Davious White has two interceptions.

The Tennessee Titans need a home victory here to get a game above a .500 record. The Tennessee Titans have won four of their last six home games. Marcus Mariota is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 933 yards, seven touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mariota has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 13 games. Delanie Walker and Corey Davis have combined for 396 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Delanie Walker has 17 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 310 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 15.5 points and 337 yards per game. Jayon Brown leads the Tennessee Titans with 29 tackles, Harold Landry III has three sacks and Logan Ryan has two interceptions.

The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Titans are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 21-48-4 ATS in their last 73 vs. AFC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games overall.

The Buffalo Bills have covered six of their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Tennessee Titans are 5-5-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Bills have surpassed expectations through the first quarter of the season and hanging around with the Patriots last week proves that this may not be a fluke. However, the Bills are banged up and could very well be without Josh Allen, Devin Singletary and Taron Johnson for this game. The Titans are coming off their best showing of the season and right when you're ready to give up on Mariota, he comes through with a flawless game and shows there's still ability there. I don't love backing the Titans due to the inconsistencies, but I'll lay the field goal anyway.

Randy’s Pick Tennessee Titans -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.