Washington (1-3) vs Oklahoma City (5-0)
October 30, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma City -14.5 — Over/Under: +231.5
The Washington Wizards and the Oklahoma City Thunder duke it out at the Paycom Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards have been doing it tough so far as they’ve dropped three of their first four games and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling just short to the 76ers in a 139-134 overtime defeat on Tuesday. Alex Sarr led the team with 31 points, 11 rebounds and five assists, Kyshawn George added 20 points with nine rebounds and seven assists while CJ McCollum and Marvin Bagley each scored 14 points.
As a team, the Wizards shot 47 percent from the field and 17 of 43 from the 3-point line as they squandered a 19-point deficit in the fourth quarter, before they went cold in overtime to allow the 76ers off the hook in another disappointing finish.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the ground running this season with five straight wins and they will be eager to extend their unbeaten run after outlasting the Kings in a 107-101 home win on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 31 points, nine rebounds and four assists on 14 of 26 shooting, Aaron Wiggins and Ajay Mitchell each scored 18 points while Luguentz Dort chipped in with 13 points.
As a team, the Thunder shot 45 percent from the field and 14 of 44 from the 3-point line as they struggled for most of the contest and trailed by 10 points late in the third quarter. Before they switched on defensively and held the Kings to just 18 points in the fourth quarter.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 27 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Wizards have lost 36 of their last 40 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games at Paycom Center.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The Wizards have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Thunder’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven night games between the Wizards and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Wizards’ last five games at Paycom Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st for points in the paint (270) this season.
- The Thunder rank 2nd in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (80.0%).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.5).
- The Wizards have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 16 points vs 76ers on October 28.
Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Wizards could be a little shorthanded for this one as Marvin Bagley is currently listed as questionable, while the Thunder have again ruled out Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Nikola Topic and Kenrich Williams. The Wizards might still be kicking themselves after wasting a 19-point lead in their loss to the 76ers on Tuesday, but they don’t have time to dwell as they visit the undefeated Thunder. They have expectedly opened as massive favorites at home in this matchup.
It’s hard to imagine anything but an easy win for the Thunder, but only one of their wins has been a blowout, which is understandable given the number of players they have injured at the moment. Give me the Wizards with the points in a game I’d rather not touch.

