| MATCHUP | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 17-13 | 15-14 |
| Spread | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | Over 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 (-110) |
| Where | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | |
| When | Tuesday, December 23, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | Sportsnet | |
The Toronto Raptors travel to the Kaseya Center to do battle with the Miami Heat on Tuesday night. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Pick.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors have been in a slump as they’ve lost eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting routed by the Nets in a 96-81 road loss on Sunday. Brandon Ingram led the team with 19 points while Immanuel Quickley added 17 points with 10 assists but no other player finished in double figures in points.
As a team, the Raptors shot just 37 percent from the field and 10 of 36 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to overcome an early 14-point deficit to take the lead in the fourth quarter. The Nets responded with a pivotal 10-0 run to pull away and blow out the Raptors. Jamal Shead had a rough night as he shot just one of seven from the field for his two points while Gradey Dick shot just one of six for his three points.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last eight games overall. They will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Knicks in a 132-125 road defeat on Sunday. Kel’el Ware led the team with 28 points and 19 rebounds on 11 of 15 shooting, Jaime Jacquez Jr provided the spark off the bench with 23 points and five assists while Norman Powell chipped in with 22 points.
As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and 17 of 35 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take an early 10-point lead. However, it didn’t last long at all as they could never contain the Knicks’ Jalen Brunson who torched them for 47 points on 15 of 26 shooting. The Heat were always within striking distance but with the injuries they are dealing with, they need more from players like Andrew Wiggins who shot just two of eight from the field for his seven points.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won seven of their last eight games against the Raptors at Kaseya Center following a loss.
- The Raptors have lost eight of their last nine road games after losing as favorites.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last nine games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Raptors have won each of their last six games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Thirteen of the Raptors’ last 14 night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five games at Kaseya Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Andrew Wiggins is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only eight players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Jamal Shead ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (9.6) this season.
- Sandro Mamukelashvili ranks T5th amongst qualified Centers for 3P% (39.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (104.2).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (92.4).
- The Raptors rank 29th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.0).
- The Raptors rank 2nd in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (66.7%).
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Raptors are still missing RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl, while the Heat have ruled out Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro and Nikola Jovic. The Raptors are still struggling for form as they are coming into this one fresh off consecutive double-digit blowout defeats, but they are still travelling better than the Heat, who have lost seven of their last eight games.
These teams last met just last week, and it was the Raptors who won by 106-96 behind 28 points from Brandon Ingram. It’s hard to split these two struggling teams at the moment, so I was expecting a much shorter line. With that being said, I will take the Raptors with the points in a game they could win outright.

