| MATCHUP | Toronto Raptors | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 46-36 | 52-30 |
| Spread | +8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +295 | -375 |
| Total | Over 215.5 (-115) | Under 215.5 (-105) |
| Where | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH | |
| When | Wednesday, April 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Toronto Raptors and the Cleveland Cavaliers duke it out in a pivotal Game 5 of the 1st Round at the Rocket Arena on Wednesday night. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Pick.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
The Toronto Raptors were facing a possible sweep after dropping the first two games of the series, but they are suddenly in position to take the lead in the series after squaring things up with a gritty 93-89 win over the Cavaliers in Game 4 on Sunday. Scottie Barnes led the team with 23 points, nine rebounds, six assists and three blocks; Brandon Ingram added 23 points on six of 23 shooting; RJ Barrett scored 18 points, while Collin Murray-Boyles chipped in with 15 points and 10 rebounds off the bench.
As a team, the Raptors shot a miserly 32 percent from the field and just four of 30 from the 3-point line, which are horrible shooting figures, but this win was all about their defense as they restricted the Cavaliers to just 36 points in the first half and they did it again in the fourth quarter, where they held the Cavaliers to just five points in the final 4:54 to secure the narrow win at home.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers will be kicking themselves after missing out on a crucial chance to take a 3-1 series lead in Game 4 on Sunday. Donovan Mitchell led the team in scoring with 20 points on six of 24 shooting; James Harden added 19 points with eight assists, while Sam Merrill chipped in with 14 points but no other player scored more than eight points.
As a team, the Cavaliers shot just 37 percent from the field and 10 of 40 from the 3-point line. They looked to be in control after taking an eight-point lead late in the fourth quarter, but they couldn’t make their shots when it mattered most and it cost them. The Cavaliers got outscored at the free throw line by 27-15; they committed a total of 18 turnovers, leading to and conceding 17 points off those turnovers.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The home team has won each of the Raptors’ last nine games.
- The Raptors have lost each of their nine previous playoff games at Rocket Arena.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Cavaliers’ last seven games.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Raptors have won seven of their last eight Game 5s of an Eastern Conference First Round series.
- The Cavaliers have lost each of their last two playoff games as favorites.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Raptors teams that held a winning record.
- The Raptors have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against Cavaliers teams that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Raptors’ last five night games against the Cavaliers following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Cavaliers’ last 12 Eastern Conference First Round games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Jaylon Tyson ranks 4th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.6%) this season.
- Evan Mobley ranks 4th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.7) this season.
Toronto Raptors Player Facts
- Ja’Kobe Walter ranks 19th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
- Brandon Ingram ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for points per game (21.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (62.2%).
- The Cavaliers are one of only two teams to win 12+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.
- The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (18.9) this season.
- The Raptors rank 2nd in the league for opponent assists per game this season (24.5).
Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
The Raptors are still missing Immanuel Quickley and Chucky Hepburn, while the Cavaliers should have a full squad once again. The Raptors would’ve taken so much confidence from their hard-fought victory in Game 4 as they pulled it off despite having arguably their worst shooting performance of the season. The momentum is with the Raptors, but the series shifts back to Cleveland, where the Cavaliers won the first two games by double digits.
You have to give credit to the Raptors, who have worked hard to square things up, but I expect the Cavaliers to bounce back at home, where the role players should perform better. The line is a little hefty so while I like the Cavaliers to reclaim the series lead, I think the Raptors fight hard and keep this to single digits in the end.