| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Spread | -6.5 -105 | +6.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -230 | +190 |
| Total | Over 228.5 (-112) | Under 228.5 (-108) |
| Where | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Thunder and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs. Mavericks Pick.
Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Clippers and Suns, and they play the Rockets next. The Thunder have won 23 of their last 26 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 111.3 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 100.8 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.3 points and 3.8 assists, while Ajay Mitchell is averaging 16 points and 3.3 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared McCain is grabbing 1.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 87.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Spurs, beat the Heat, and they play the Rockets next. The Mavs have lost 11 of their last 16 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112.5 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 25 points and 6.3 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 19 points and 3.7 rebounds. P.J. Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won five of their last six home games against the Thunder following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last five games at American Airlines Center.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Thunder and Mavericks at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Thunder’s last six games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- P.J. Washington ranks T29th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Only 12.0% of the Mavericks’ scoring this season has come from the free-throw line – lowest mark in the league.
- Eight different Mavericks players have scored 15+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for free throw percentage this season (87.5%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (22.3).
Thunder vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Dereck Lively, and Naji Marshall. Caleb Martin is questionable with a thumb sprain. Kyrie Irving is questionable with a knee issue.
The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams due to an ankle injury. Nikola Topic is out with a back injury. Thomas Sorber is out with a knee injury. Alex Caruso is out with an ankle injury. Chet Holmgren is out with a knee issue. Ajay Mitchell is questionable with an ankle sprain.
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks were competing more than they were a season ago, and it makes them worth a look in the underdog role. While OKC has been a money maker over the last three seasons, the injuries are piling up, and it makes me hesitant to lay these thick numbers, especially on the road. No Holmgren, Caruso, and Williams. Obviously I’d love to know the status of Kyrie before pulling the trigger, but I have to lean Mavs and the points if forced to pick this game.