| MATCHUP | San Antonio Spurs | New York Knicks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 62-20 | 53-29 |
| Spread | +2.5 -115 | -2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | Over 215.5 (-112) | Under 215.5 (-108) |
| Where | New York Stadium | |
| When | Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ABC | |
The San Antonio Spurs will be hoping to tie up the series against the New York Knicks in Game 4 of the NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs needed to respond after dropping both of their home games to start the series, and they did just that with a gritty 115-111 win over the Knicks in Game 3 on Tuesday to cut the series lead to 2-1. Victor Wembenyama led the team with 32 points, eight rebounds, six assists, two steals, and three blocks. Stephon Castle added 23 points with five rebounds and five assists. Dylan Harper scored 13 points while De’Aaron Fox chipped in with 12 points.
As a team, the Spurs shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they squandered an early 12-point lead and looked to be in trouble after getting smashed by 42-24 in the second quarter, before they went on a crucial 6-0 run early in the fourth quarter to pull ahead and escape with the much-needed win. Harper had a rough shooting night as he shot just five of 18 from the field and one of eight from the 3-point line, while Fox shot just four of 14 from the field and zero of five from the 3-point line.
New York Knicks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the New York Knicks will be feeling like they missed out on a crucial chance to take a dominant lead after coming up just short against the Spurs in Game 3 at home. Jalen Brunson led the way once again with 32 points, five rebounds, and five assists on 11 of 25 shooting. OG Anunoby provided great support with 28 points on nine of 13 shooting, while Josh Hart chipped in with 16 points, nine rebounds, and five assists.
As a team, the Knicks shot 45 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they got off to yet another slow start and had to claw their way back from a 12-point deficit thanks to 42 points in the second quarter, but they couldn’t maintain that pace and scored just 47 points in the entire second half to allow the Spurs to cut in their series lead. Karl-Anthony Towns had a quiet game of just 11 points on four of 10 shooting, Landry Shamet scored just three points on one of eight shooting off the bench, while Mikal Bridges scored just two points on one of five shooting.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won 13 of their last 14 playoff games.
- The Spurs have lost five of their last six games after winning as underdogs.
- The Knicks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine playoff games.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games after winning as underdogs.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Spurs’ last four playoff games.
- The Knicks have lost each of their last three NBA Finals home games.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Knicks’ last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last eight playoff road games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the last 12 NBA Finals Game 4s have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Knicks’ last four home games following a home loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Knicks Player Facts
- Jose Alvarado has scored 168 career points against the Spurs – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
- Josh Hart is one of only three players to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Stephon Castle is one of only five players to have recorded a 40+ point triple-double this season.
- Julian Champagnie is one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Knicks rank 2nd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (7.3).
- The Knicks rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.9).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).
San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction
The Spurs were able to make their mark in this series and snap the Knicks’ 13-game playoff win streak, and now they are just one win away from squaring things up heading back home if they are good enough. There was certainly a bit of a luck factor in the Spurs’ Game 3 victory, as it could’ve gone either way, and they were lucky to be on the right side of some officiating calls.
The Knicks might be disappointed, but they are still playing at home with a massive chance to take a 3-1 series lead, but it’s going to take a team effort, as we saw in the first two games. The refs really seem to be allowing both teams to play through contact, which is speeding the game up, so another play on the score total being over could be the trick. I expect to see another close game, possibly going into overtime, with the Spurs squaring things up behind another big game from Wembenyama.