| MATCHUP | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-46 | 35-21 |
| Spread | +15.5 -118 | -15.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +625 | -950 |
| Total | Over 221.5 (-115) | Under 221.5 (-105) |
| Where | Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | Space City Home Network | |
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Spurs and beat the Grizzlies, and they play the Mavs next. The Kings have lost 15 of their last 16 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.1 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 121.1 points on 49.5 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Russell Westbrook is averaging 15 points and 5.5 rebounds. Keegan Murray is the third double-digit scorer, and Malik Monk is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Jazz and lost to the Knicks, and they play the Magic next. The Rockets have split their last 8 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.5 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.1 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.4 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Kings have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have won 15 of their last 16 games at Toyota Center against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games on the first leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Kings at Toyota Center.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Kings and Rockets.
- The Rockets have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Rockets’ last eight games at Toyota Center.
Total Points: Facts
- Eleven of the Rockets’ last 12 home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Kings’ last 12 games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Kevin Durant ranks 11th amongst qualified players for points per game (25.9) this season.
- Reed Sheppard ranks 14th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Russell Westbrook ranks 15th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.0) this season.
- Malik Monk ranks 16th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from an HT lead this season—led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (26.5).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.3).
- The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.2).
Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Amen Thompson, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.
The Kings will be without Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, Dylan Cardwell, and De’Andre Hunter. Devin Carter is questionable.
Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets Prediction
The Rockets should be massive home favorites because of the talent gap, but they’re also just 25-31 ATS on the season. The Kings have won the last two games against the Rockets, cashing two huge underdog tickets. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a double-digit favorite. This is a lot of points and has more to do with how awful the Kings are. Still, I’m grabbing the boatload of buckets.