Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 1/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 

The Sacramento Kings have been struggling lately as they’ve lost 11 of their last 15 games overall and they will be hoping to put a halt to a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Cavaliers in a 123-118 road defeat on Friday. Domantas Sabonis led the team with 24 points, 16 rebounds and six assists off the bench, DeMar DeRozan added 20 points on six of 12 shooting while Dennis Schroder provided the spark off the bench with 21 points.

As a team, the Kings shot 47 percent from the field and 13 of 33 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 71 points in the first half to take the early lead. However, they let all their hard work go to waste in the third quarter where they got outscored by 34-22 to trail by as many as 14 points. The Kings didn’t give up as they cut the deficit to just two points in the fourth quarter before they went cold again and allowed the Cavaliers to slip away. 

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in pretty good shape lately as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall. They will be looking to bounce back in this spot after having their four-game win streak snapped by the Rockets in a 111-104 loss on Friday. Jalen Duren led the team in scoring with just 18 points, Isaiah Stewart added 16 points on seven of nine shooting while Ronald Holland II chipped in with 13 points.

As a team, the Pistons shot just 48 percent from the field and seven of 32 from the 3-point line as they poured in 32 points in the second quarter to overcome a slow start. But they couldn’t make open shots in the third quarter, and that was their undoing as they got outscored by 34-20 to fall behind again. Cade Cunningham got it going at the end but finished with just 12 points with six turnovers while Tobias Harris finished with just four points on one of six shooting. 

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

• The Kings have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Pistons have won 10 of their last 11 games at Little Caesars Arena against teams that held a losing record.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games.
• The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Kings’ last five games at Little Caesars Arena.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Pistons have lost each of their last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has won 10 of the last 11 games between the Kings and Pistons.
• The Kings have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
• The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Pistons’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Kings’ last four games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

• Ausar Thompson ranks 6th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.7) this season.
• Ron Holland II ranks 6th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Malik Monk ranks 18th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.2%) this season.
• Dennis Schroder ranks 30th amongst qualified players for assists per game (5.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.7).
• The Pistons rank 30th in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (22.6).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (21.7%).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for rebound percentage this season (47.3%).

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

The Kings are still missing Keegan Murray while the Pistons have listed Caris LeVert as doubtful for this meeting. You couldn’t say this about most teams, but the Kings haven’t looked too bad during their losing streak. They are getting healthier with Sabonis rejoining the lineup, and they were more than competitive against the red-hot Cavaliers in their last outing.

The Pistons come into this contest as obvious favorites at home, and they were certainly on a roll before they laid an egg against the Rockets in their last game. These teams last met on Dec. 23, and it was the Pistons who won by 136-127, and I am expecting a similar result in this one with the Pistons getting the win, but the Kings earning the backdoor cover on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Sacramento +13.5