Dallas Mavericks (5-3) vs Phoenix Suns (7-1)
November 8, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -3.5 — Over/Under: 230
The Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out at the American Airlines Center on Friday night. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Phoenix Suns
The Phoenix Suns have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their first eight games overall and they will be eager to build on their current six-game win streak after sneaking past the Heat in a thrilling 115-112 home win on Wednesday. Kevin Durant led the team with 32 points, eight rebounds, and three assists, Devin Booker added 22 points with nine assists while Jusuf Nurkic chipped in with 20 points, 18 rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Suns shot 50 percent from the field and 18 of 43 from the 3-point line as they struggled in the first half and fell behind by 15 points, but they clawed their way back and went on a pivotal 7-0 run late in the fourth quarter to come to keep their win streak alive.
Dallas Mavericks
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after making light work of the Bulls in a 119-99 home win on Wednesday. Luka Doncic led the team with 27 points, seven rebounds, 13 assists, and four steals, Daniel Gafford and Kyrie Irving each scored 17 points while Klay Thompson chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 48 percent from the field and 12 of 38 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 32 points in the first quarter to take an eight-point lead into halftime before they caught fire in the second-half to lead by as many as 30 points at one stage. The Mavs will meet the Nuggets and Warriors after this game.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Suns have won each of their last six games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Suns’ last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Suns’ last eight night games at American Airlines Center following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Kyrie Irving ranks T3rd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (54.5%) this season.
- Klay Thompson ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (3.4) this season.
Phoenix Suns Player Facts
- Tyus Jones ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (6.8) this season.
- Devin Booker ranks T10th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (4.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank T2nd in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (75.0%).
- The Mavericks rank 28th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.6).
- The Suns rank 29th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.1).
- The Suns rank T2nd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (75.0%).
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Suns should be at full strength for this one with Bradley Beal listed as probable, while the Mavericks are still playing without PJ Washington, Dante Exum, Maxi Kleber, and Dereck Lively. These two teams last met on Oct 26 and it was the Suns who romped to a 114-102 win despite 40 points from Luka Doncic. The Mavericks will be out for revenge and they could certainly do it, but the Suns are just too tempting as the underdogs in this spot, so I am going with the Suns for the minor upset.