| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-18 | 62-20 |
| Spread | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +136 | -162 |
| Total | Over 219.5 (-108) | Under 219.5 (-112) |
| Where | San Antonio Stadium | |
| When | Thursday, May 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are a win away from back to back finals appearances. The Thunder have won 18 of their last 22 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.4 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28 points and 8.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.8 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 85.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs need a win to save their season and force a game 7 on Saturday. The Spurs have won 45 of their last 59 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 115.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 106 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 22.9 points and 11.1 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 19.5 points and 6.6 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.7 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 80.2 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.4 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 home games following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost 14 of their last 17 Western Conference Finals road games following a win.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 14 night games following a home win.
- The Spurs have lost seven of their last nine Western Conference Finals games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four games following a home win.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight Western Conference Finals games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Spurs’ last 10 playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Thunder’s last eight playoff games have gone OVER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Stephon Castle has recorded 6+ assists in seven consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league (including playoffs).
- Julian Champagnie has recorded 85 career rebounds against the Thunder – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
- Isaiah Hartenstein leads all Thunder players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free-throw percentage this season (74.0%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.2).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober due to an ACL injury. Ajay Mitchell is out with a soleus strain. Jalen Williams is questionable with a hamstring strain.
The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
You can talk yourself into the Thunder and the points because you don’t get these chances often. This will be just the eighth time under the 2026 calendar where OKC is an underdog. I get it. However, I was on the Spurs before the start of this series, and it’s too late to jump off now. The Spurs usually bounce back nicely from losses, and despite some weird performances lately, they’ve still won 6 of the last 10 games against the Thunder. As I’ve said before, the Spurs are the one team in the league that doesn’t fear OKC. Role players play better at home, and the Thunder are still down key rotation players. I’ll lay the reasonable number as this series goes seven.