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Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 5/22/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

May 20, 2026; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) looks to pass as San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle (5) defends during the fourth quarter during game two of the western conference finals for the 2026 NBA playoffs at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

May 20, 2026; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) looks to pass as San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle (5) defends during the fourth quarter during game two of the western conference finals for the 2026 NBA playoffs at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs
Team Records 64-18 62-20
Spread +1.5 -105 -1.5 -115
Moneyline +105 -125
Total Over 217.5 (-110) Under 217.5 (-110)
Where Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
When Friday, May 22, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EDT
TV NBC

The San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder collide in a pivotal Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at the Frost Bank Center on Friday night. Here’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be feeling much better after they bounced back from their tough loss in the series opener with a hard-fought 122-113 win over the Spurs in Game 2 on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 30 points and nine assists; Alex Caruso added 17 points with five assists off the bench, while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 13 points.

As a team, the Thunder shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in a bit of trouble after squandering an early 13-point lead in the third quarter, but just when it looked like the game might go into another overtime, the Thunder went on a crucial 11-0 run early in the fourth quarter to reclaim control and secure the much-needed win to square up the series at 1-1. SGA bounced back from his poor showing in Game 1 as he shot 12 of 24 from the field in Game 2 and the Thunder got plenty of support from their bench as they had four reserve players finishing in double figures in scoring. 

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs were absolutely brimming with confidence following their dramatic double overtime win in Game 1, but they are now looking to bounce back after falling short in Game 2 on Wednesday. Stephen Castle led the team with 25 points and eight assists on 10 of 17 shooting; Devin Vassell added 22 points on seven of 14 shooting, while Victor Wembanyama chipped in with 21 points, 17 rebounds and six assists.

As a team, the Spurs shot 49 percent from the field and 16 of 40 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 37 points in the third quarter to overcome an early 13-point deficit, but they couldn’t take advantage of their open looks in the fourth quarter and allowed the Thunder to slip through their fingers in the end. Keldon Johnson had a quiet game of just 19 points off the bench, while Julian Champagnie shot just two of eight from the field for his eight points in 36 minutes of action. 

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

Total Points Facts

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

Matchup/League Facts

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Thunder are keeping an eye on Jalen Williams, who is questionable with a hamstring injury, while the Spurs are sweating on the availability of Dylan Harper and De’Aaron Fox, who are both questionable for Game 3. The injury cloud hanging over both teams makes things a little tricky, so be sure to check the lineups before tipoff. The Thunder would be relieved to square up the series, but at the end of the day, the Spurs are still the happier team, as they stole home-court advantage and now have a chance to reclaim the series lead at the Frost Bank Center, where they are 4-2 SU so far in these playoffs.

The Thunder got the job done in Game 2 thanks to a better game from SGA and a little help from the referees, but things could change quickly if the Spurs get Harper and Fox back from injury. You don’t often see the Thunder as underdogs, so they are certainly tempting in this spot, but the Spurs should get much better production from their role players in the comfort of their home court and I think they do just enough to secure a narrow win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: San Antonio -1.5

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