Minnesota Timberwolves (31-26) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (45-10)
Game Info: Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 9:30 pm (Target Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 — Over/Under: 229.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.
The Thunder have won 11 of their last 14 games and are coming off a blowout win over the Jazz. The Thunder are 0.5 games behind the Cavs for the best record in the NBA. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.9 points and 6.9 rebounds on 48.6 percent shooting from the field in February. The Thunder play the Nets, Hawks, and Spurs next.
The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games and are dealing with injuries. The Timberwolves can’t afford to keep losing games as they’ve fallen to the seventh seed in the West and would be in the play-in tournament if the postseason started today. Anthony Edwards is averaging 34.7 points in the month of February, his best scoring stretch of the season. The Timberwolves play the Lakers, Jazz, and Suns next.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds
The Timberwolves are a 9.5-point underdog and have a ML of +320. The underdog has covered and outright won three of the last four games between the Thunder and Timberwolves.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last six home games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have lost 21 of their last 23 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for three-point percentage this season (37.6%).
- The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.9).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.7).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Jesse Edwards, and Donte DiVincenzo.
The Thunder will be without Ajay Mitchell and Nikola Topic.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
It’s hard to bet against the Thunder when they’re the best cover team in the NBA with a 35-17-4 ATS record. However, the Timberwolves still have Edwards, and they have these moments where they’re able to follow his lead and play elite ball. We saw this a couple of weeks ago when the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 116-101 as a 9.5-point underdog. Just when you’re ready to count out the Timberwolves, you’re reminded they’re still a good basketball team. We’ve also seen the underdog win three of the last four games between these teams. This line feels inflated. I’ll grab the points with the Timberwolves at home.