| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 38-10 | 29-19 |
| Spread | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -230 | +190 |
| Total | Over 228.5 (-108) | Under 228.5 (-112) |
| Where | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN | |
| When | Thursday, January 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EST | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Thursday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Raptors, beat the Pelicans, and then play the Nuggets next. The Thunder have won 42 of their last 52 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Warriors and Mavs, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Timberwolves have lost 5 of their last 7 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.6 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won nine of their last 10 games at Target Center following a road win.
- The Thunder have lost five of their last six games at Target Center when playing with a rest advantage.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Thunder and Timberwolves at Target Center.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Target Center.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in six of the Thunder’s last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Timberwolves’ last 12 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Thunder’s last five games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Julius Randle is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
- Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Isaiah Joe ranks 8th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
- Isaiah Hartenstein leads all Thunder players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.1).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.8).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.0%).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, and Ajay Mitchell. Cason Wallace is questionable.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
The Thunder are the better team with the rest advantage, but they’re also still banged up and have some questionable losses lately. As I’ve said before, OKC also isn’t the cover machine it’s been the past two seasons. The Thunder are just 23-25 ATS on the season. Despite playing last night, the Timberwolves have some dog in them and tend to get up for these big games. Also, the underdog has covered 7 of the last 10 games between the Timberwolves and Thunder. The Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games as an underdog. I’ll grab the points.