| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-18 | 53-29 |
| Spread | -10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | -520 | +390 |
| Total | Over 214.5 (-112) | Under 214.5 (-108) |
| Where | crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA | |
| When | Monday, May 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder look for the sweep and to make back-to-back conference finals appearances. The Thunder have won 14 of their last 16 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.1 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.3 points and 7 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.5 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 85.7 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.
LA Lakers Betting Preview
The LA Lakers hope to save their season and force a game 5 on Wednesday. The Lakers have won 20 of their last 29 games.
The LA Lakers are averaging 101.3 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 23.1 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Austin Reaves is averaging 18.6 points and 3.4 rebounds. Rui Hachimura is the third double-digit scorer, and Marcus Smart is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The LA Lakers are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The LA Lakers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win
- The Lakers have won 14 of their last 16 playoff home games against the Thunder.
- The Thunder have lost seven of their last 12 Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 playoff games as road favorites following a win.
- The Lakers have covered the spread in each of their last three night games against the Thunder following a home loss.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last nine night games against the Lakers.
- The Lakers have lost each of their last eight games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last nine night games against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
- The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six playoff games against Northwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last six night games against the Lakers following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Lakers’ last eight Western Conference Semifinals games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts
- Deandre Ayton ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FG% (67.1%) this season.
- Marcus Smart is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 5+ steals in consecutive games this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
- Isaiah Joe ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Lakers players have recorded the most games with 30+ points (62) this season.
- Lakers players have recorded the most games with 40+ points (19) this season.
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.2).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober and Jalen Williams.
Luka Dončić is out for the Lakers.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction
You’d like to think the Lakers can make a series of this and extend it at least one game. We need more basketball. The problem is the Thunder have won 8 straight games against the Lakers and have won those games by an average of 24 points. There’s really nothing left to do here. We’ve seen this matchup a lot this season and it’s the same result every time. The Lakers just don’t have enough on either side of the ball to compete with OKC. I have to lay the points with the Thunder in a sweep as they make back-to-back WCF trips.