Indiana Pacers (50-32) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)
Game Info: Friday, June 13, 2025 at 8:30 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)
The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers +6 — Over/Under: 225.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers meet Friday in the NBA Finals Game 4 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder need a win to even up the series at 2-2. The Thunder are 4-4 SU on the road this postseason. The Thunder haven’t lost two straight games since April 4-6.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.1 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.1 points and 6.6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.5 points and 5.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Caruso is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Pacers are 7-2 SU at home this postseason. The Pacers are 3-0 this postseason in game 4s.
The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.4 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.6 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points and 5.9 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 39.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Pacers have won nine of their last 12 playoff games as underdogs.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four playoff games as road favorites.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Thunder’s last 10 playoff games.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last eight road games following a loss.
- The Pacers have lost 13 of their last 15 games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games after winning as underdogs.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Indiana Pacers Player Facts
- Ben Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (3.9) this season.
- Bennedict Mathurin ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (277) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Isaiah Joe ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
- Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Injury Report
The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson due to an Achilles injury. Jarace Walker is out for a fourth straight game due to an ankle injury. Walker has played 117 minutes in these playoffs, scoring 36 points, grabbing 21 rebounds, and dishing eight assists.
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic due to a knee injury.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The Thunder don’t string losses together, and they’re 63-35-4 ATS on the season. I can understand why you’d consider laying the points with OKC. However, I’ve been on the Pacers’ majority of the playoffs and gave them a chance to win this series from the start. Two wins away from a title, I have a hard time leaving points on the table. The Pacers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 home games as an underdog. The Thunder are 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games, and they have yet to cover a number on the road in these playoffs. The Pacers are live to win this game outright, so to see six free points feels like a no-brainer. Give me the points.