| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 20-1 | 11-10 |
| Spread | -11.5 -105 | +11.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -600 | +440 |
| Total | Over 223.5 (-110) | Under 223.5 (-110) |
| Where | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA | |
| When | Tuesday, December 2, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Suns and Trail Blazers, and then play the Mavericks next. The Thunder have won 24 of their last 25 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.2 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 105.6 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.2 points and 6.6 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.3 points and 7.9 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 84.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Rockets, beat the Pelicans, and they’ll play the 76ers next. The Warriors have lost 9 of their last 16 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.1 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.9 points and 4 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 20 points and 4.9 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last nine games at Chase Center when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Thunder have lost 10 of their last 13 games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Chase Center when playing with a rest advantage.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 12 games.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last four games following a home win.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last six games against the Thunder following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Thunder’s last six games as favorites against the Warriors have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Gary Payton II leads all Warriors players for rebounds per 36 minutes (10.0) this season.
- Brandin Podziemski ranks T47th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.2) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Cason Wallace ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.2) this season.
- Ajay Mitchell is one of only three players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.2).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.1).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (42.2%).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report
The Warriors will be without Steph Curry, Alex Toohey, De’Anthony Melton and Al Horford. Jimmy Butler and Trayce Jackson-Davis are questionable.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic, and Isaiah Hartenstein.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Thunder are missing a lot of key defenders, and that would usually lead me toward the other side, but the Warriors are missing the bodies to expose those injuries. No Curry and potentially no Butler, it’s hard to take the Warriors seriously. The Thunder beat the Warriors by 24 points a few weeks ago. The Warriors have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 games, and many players have voiced frustrations with recent play. Even with many rotation players out, I have to lay the points with OKC. The Warriors aren’t good at full strength, and they’re far from it currently.