| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-16 | 52-28 |
| Spread | +10.5 -110 | -10.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +440 | -600 |
| Total | Over 231.5 (-110) | Under 231.5 (-110) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Friday, April 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | Altitude Sports | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Clippers and Lakers and then will play the Suns next. The Thunder have won 24 of their last 27 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.7 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.4 points and 6.6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.2 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Trail Blazers and Grizzlies and will play the Spurs next. The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 15 games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.6 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.9 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.5 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 home games.
- The Thunder have lost four of their five previous games at Ball Arena following a road win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Thunder’s last six games.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have lost six of their last seven games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in 12 of the Thunder’s last 13 games at Ball Arena.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Seven of the Nuggets’ last eight home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last four games as underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (11.8).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.5%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (73.9%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (26.4).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report
Peyton Watson and Spencer Jones are out for the Nuggets.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber and Jalen Williams.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and just haven’t been able to cover big numbers all season. However, this line suggests OKC will be sitting most of its rotation. That’s a death sentence going up against a healthy Nuggets team that’s trying to lock up the third seed in the west. The Thunder have nothing to play for and if they’re not going to play anybody, this game should get ugly. Check the injury report before betting but if OKC is going to sit players the way this line suggests, I have to lay the points with the Nuggets.