| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 38-11 | 33-16 |
| Spread | -5.5 -105 | +5.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -218 | +180 |
| Total | Over 226.5 (-110) | Under 226.5 (-110) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Sunday, February 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Timberwolves, beat the Pelicans, and then play the Magic next. The Thunder have won 42 of their last 53 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Nets and Clippers, and they play the Pistons next. The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 14 games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 116.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 26 points and 4.3 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Thunder’s last eight games at Ball Arena.
- The Thunder have lost five of their last six road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last 12 games between the Thunder and Nuggets at Ball Arena.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 11 road games following a loss.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five night games at Ball Arena following a road loss.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last four games at Ball Arena following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Twelve of the Nuggets’ last 14 night games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Spencer Jones has played the most minutes in a single game without making a field goal of any player in the league this season – 37:47 against Raptors on December 31.
- Jonas Valanciunas ranks 10th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.0) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren is one of only two players to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Isaiah Joe ranks 8th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.5%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for offensive rating this season (122.2).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.3).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.4).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report
Cameron Johnson, Aaron Gordon, and Tamar Bates are out for the Nuggets. Christian Braun is doubtful.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, and Ajay Mitchell.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Thunder keep getting the benefit of the doubt like they’re the same team from the past two seasons. OKC is 23-26 ATS on the season and is now losing these games as a big favorite. The Thunder have failed to cover each of their last 4 games. The Nuggets have been winning, and now Jokic is back in the mix. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Nuggets and Thunder. The Thunder are going through a funk, while the Nuggets are a confident group at home, where they play their best ball, and just got Jokic back. The points are difficult to pass up here.