| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-8 | 24-19 |
| Spread | -6.5 -105 | +6.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -245 | +200 |
| Total | Over 234.5 (-110) | Under 234.5 (-110) |
| Where | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH | |
| When | Monday, January 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder invade the Rocket Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday night. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they’ve won nine of their last 12 games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their five-game win streak halted by the Heat in a 122-120 road defeat on Saturday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 39 points on 12 of 19 shooting, Aaron Wiggins provided the spark off the bench with 18 points on seven of 10 shooting while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 14 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks.
As a team, the Thunder shot 55 percent from the field and 13 of 29 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to lead for most of the contest. However, they went ice-cold and didn’t score a single point in the final 1:49 to allow the Heat to snatch the game away at the end.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been doing pretty well lately as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the 76ers in a 117-115 road win on Friday. Jaylon Tyson led the team with 39 points on 13 of 17 shooting, De’Andre Hunter added 16 points off the bench while Donovan Mitchell tallied 13 points with nine rebounds and 12 assists.
As a team, the Cavaliers shot 52 percent from the field and 17 of 34 from the 3-point line which are efficient numbers, but the Cavaliers struggled to get going and they trailed for most of the contest before they closed the final 4:16 on a 15-6 run capped by the game-winning dunk from Evan Mobley with just 4.8 seconds left in the fourth quarter.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven home games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have lost eight of their last nine games at Rocket Arena following a loss.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 Monday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last nine road games after losing as favorites.
- The Cavaliers have lost four of their last five home games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 games at Rocket Arena following a road win.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against the Cavaliers following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Thunder’s last four road games against the Cavaliers following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Cavaliers’ last six day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Jaylon Tyson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.5%) this season.
- Jarrett Allen ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (59.7%) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Cason Wallace ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
- Alex Caruso ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (61.8).
- The Cavaliers rank 2nd in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (92.1).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.7).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.2%).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Jalen Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein, while the Cavaliers have ruled out Sam Merrill, Darius Garland and Max Strus. The Thunder are coming into this meeting fresh off a rare defeat, but they were on fire before that loss so it’s no surprise to see them as road favorites in this spot.
The Cavaliers have been doing well to keep their heads above water lately despite all the injuries they’ve accrued, but they will have to be at their best to challenge the Thunder. They are always so tough to beat following a loss. The Cavaliers are tempting at home, but the Thunder don’t take losses well and I think they bounce back with a win and cover in this spot.