| MATCHUP | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Spread | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -170 | +142 |
| Total | Over 231.5 (-105) | Under 231.5 (-115) |
| Where | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ | |
| When | Friday, October 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBA League Pass | |
Nuggets vs Suns Prediction
I’m not excited to back the Nuggets, who have a covering problem, but the Suns are 0-3 ATS this season. It’s picking the best of two evils, and I simply trust the Nuggets more. At their best, the Nuggets are one of the top teams in the NBA, while the Suns are still trying to find an identity and struggle with consistency.
The Suns haven’t played a lick of defense up to this point, and that’s not ideal when going up against Jokic and company. The Nuggets have won five straight games against the Suns. Phoenix hasn’t beaten Denver since Christmas Day 2024. I’ll lay the small number with the Nuggets.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets lost to the Warriors, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Nuggets have won 15 of their last 17 regular season games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 110.8 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 46 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 22.5 points and 5 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 22 points and 10.5 rebounds. DeMar DeRozan is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns lost to the Thunder, beat the Warriors, and they play the Warriors next. The Suns have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 109.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 123.7 points on 48 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 22.7 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 14.7 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jalen Green is the third double-digit scorer, and Miles Bridges is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 40.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last 12 Friday home games.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites following a win.
- The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Suns have lost each of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The favorites have won each of the Suns’ last eight games.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games following a road loss.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Suns’ last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Suns rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (15.7).
- The Suns rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (40.7%).
- The Nuggets have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailing by 19 points vs. the Pelicans on October 24.
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (24.5).