New York (2-0) vs Miami (1-1)
October 26, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +2.5 — Over/Under: +228.5
The Miami Heat play host to the New York Knicks at the Kaseya Center on Sunday night. Here’s a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Pick.
New York Knicks Betting Preview
The New York Knicks have hit the ground running this season as they are now gunning for a third straight victory after beating the shorthanded Celtics in a 105-95 home win on Friday. Jalen Brunson led the team with 31 points and five assists on 10 of 20 shooting, Karl-Anthony Towns added 26 points with 13 rebounds, while Mikal Bridges chipped in with 12 points on five of 10 shooting.
As a team, the Knicks shot just 38 percent from the field and 17 of 45 from the 3-point line, which aren’t impressive numbers. However, they did all of their damage in the second quarter where they simply dominated the Celtics by 42-14 to take an early 24-point lead.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat suffered a narrow loss in their season opener, but they will be feeling much better after they scorched the Grizzlies in a 146-114 road win on Friday night. Bam Adebayo led the team with 24 points, five rebounds, and four assists on eight of 19 shooting. Nikola Jovic added 20 points with six rebounds and four assists off the bench. Kel’el Ware scored 19 points while Jaime Jacquez Jr chipped in with 17 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists.
As a team, the Heat shot a healthy 53 percent from the field and 19 of 40 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running. They poured on an incredible 86 points in the first half to take a 45-point lead, which allowed them to empty their bench early and spread the minutes amongst the role players.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The home team has won each of the Knicks’ last five games.
- The Knicks have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Knicks following a road win.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a win.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won each of their last eight road games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last five games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Kaseya Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last eight Sunday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Knicks’ last four games as favorites against the Heat have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks T2nd amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (8.0) this season.
- Kel’el Ware is one of only six qualified players in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.0) and three-point shooting percentage (66.7%) this season.
New York Knicks Player Facts
- Jalen Brunson ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for points per game (27.0) this season.
- Ariel Hukporti leads all Knicks players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (49.5).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (41.5).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (34.5).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (6.0).
New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Knicks have ruled out Mitchell Robinson again and they are keeping eyes on Karl-Anthony Towns and Miles McBride, while the Heat are still playing without Tyler Herro and the suspended Terry Rozier. These teams met three times last season with the Knicks earning the season sweep with relative ease.
The Heat are coming into this game fresh off a massive win over the Grizzlies in their last outing, but now they’re up against a Knicks squad who have already beaten the Cavaliers and the Celtics this season. Given how short the line is, I can’t go past the Knicks to get the win and cover on the road in this spot.