New Orleans (1-6) vs Dallas (2-5)
November 5, 2025 at 08:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas -7.5 — Over/Under: +226.5
The New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Thunder, beat the Hornets, and they play the Spurs next. The Pelicans are coming off their first win of the season last night.
The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 109 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 124 points on 50.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Jordan Poole is averaging 18.3 points and 1.7 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremiah Fears is dishing 3.8 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.6 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Pistons and Rockets, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Mavs have lost 10 of their last 14 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 107.4 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while PJ Washington is averaging 14.9 points and 7.9 rebounds. Cooper Flagg is the third double-digit scorer, and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 1.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.
The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray and Zion Williamson. Yves Missi is questionable.
The Pelicans finally won a game, but let’s not get too crazy, as it came against the Hornets. While the Mavs aren’t playing good ball and are dealing with injuries, they’re at home with the rest advantage and playing a bad Pels team on the end of a back-to-back that doesn’t have Zion. If the Mavs can’t take advantage of this spot, things may be even worse than we thought. Thick line, but it’s the Pelicans without their best player. The Mavericks can’t screw this up. I’ll lay the number.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Thunder, beat the Hornets, and they play the Spurs next. The Pelicans are coming off their first win of the season last night.
The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 109 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 124 points on 50.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Jordan Poole is averaging 18.3 points and 1.7 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremiah Fears is dishing 3.8 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.6 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Pistons and Rockets, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Mavs have lost 10 of their last 14 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 107.4 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while PJ Washington is averaging 14.9 points and 7.9 rebounds. Cooper Flagg is the third double-digit scorer, and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 1.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last 10 road games.
- The favorites have won 20 of the Pelicans’ last 21 games.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five games at American Airlines Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Pelicans have won three of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Mavericks’ last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Pelicans’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Max Christie ranks T4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (50.0%) this season.
- P.J. Washington ranks T6th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.3) this season.
New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts
- Trey Murphy III ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (5.3) this season.
- Herb Jones has played the most minutes in a single game without making a field goal of any player in the league this season – (28:22) against Spurs on October 24.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.1).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (10.3).
- The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (7.8).
- The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for field goals made per game this season (37.0).
New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.
The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray and Zion Williamson. Yves Missi is questionable.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Pelicans finally won a game, but let’s not get too crazy, as it came against the Hornets. While the Mavs aren’t playing good ball and are dealing with injuries, they’re at home with the rest advantage and playing a bad Pels team on the end of a back-to-back that doesn’t have Zion. If the Mavs can’t take advantage of this spot, things may be even worse than we thought. Thick line, but it’s the Pelicans without their best player. The Mavericks can’t screw this up. I’ll lay the number.