| MATCHUP | Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 49-33 | 62-20 |
| Spread | +9.5 -105 | -9.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +330 | -425 |
| Total | Over 215.5 (-110) | Under 215.5 (-110) |
| Where | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, May 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a chance to take a surprising 2-0 series lead. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 11 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 110.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 106.7 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 21.8 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 19.4 points and 3.9 assists. Anthony Edwards is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs need a win here to even up the series at 1-1. The Spurs have won 39 of their last 49 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 110.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 100.7 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Stephon Castle is averaging 19.3 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Victor Wembanyama is averaging 19 points and 2.6 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Dylan Harper is dishing 2.2 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last eight games after losing as favorites.
- The Timberwolves have lost 12 of their last 14 games at Frost Bank Center against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 12 road games following a road win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven night games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last three Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Western Conference Semifinals home games.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last four playoff home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Timberwolves’ last five playoff games have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Stephon Castle is one of only five players to have recorded a 40+ point triple-double this season.
- Julian Champagnie is one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Jaden McDaniels is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.
- Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for blocks per game this season (5.8).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.1).
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo. Anthony Edwards is questionable with a knee bruise. Ayo Dosunmu is questionable with calf soreness.
Carter Bryant is questionable for the Spurs with a foot sprain.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Spurs are going to be favored because they’re at home and can’t afford to go down 0-2 in the series. You’re going to get a more expensive price because of the desperation. I’m again grabbing the points with the Timberwolves. This is a feisty team that competes defensively and can hang around just because of that. Ant-Man is back and Gobert has now made Jokic and Wemby look human in these playoffs. He’s completely changing the narrative about him being overrated. The Timberwolves have also now won 6 of the last 7 games against the Spurs. I expect the Spurs to even things up, but this line isn’t showing much respect to the Timberwolves. Give me the points.