Golden State Warriors (48-34) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33)
Game Info: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Chase Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors +5.5 — Over/Under: 199.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors meet Monday in the NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Chase Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves look for a win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Timberwolves have won 23 of their last 29 games since March 2. The Timberwolves have won nine of their last 12 playoff road games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 105.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 98.9 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.6 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.4 points and 6.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors need a win to even up the series at 2-2. The Warriors have won 13 of their last 21 games. The Warriors have won eight of their last 12 home playoff games. The Warriors haven’t lost three straight games since December 23 – 27.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 101.7 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 103.5 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 22.6 points and 5.1 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 20 points and 5.3 assists. Buddy Hield is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Timberwolves have lost four of their last six playoff games as favorites following a win.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Warriors have lost four of their last five games at Chase Center against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 Monday home games.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Gary Payton II ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.
- Buddy Hield ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
- Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report
The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry due to a hamstring strain. A potential game 6 is Curry’s possible return date. The Warriors are 7-7 SU this season without Curry.
The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Warriors had their chances to win game 3 but blew it. Honestly, you can’t get 30 from Kuminga off the bench and lose. He gave the Warriors the game of his life when Steve Kerr doesn’t know if he’s going to play him most nights. There’s just not enough firepower on this Warriors team without Curry. Brandin Podziemski is simply not an NBA player, and he’s constantly racking up minutes as a starter while clanking open shots game after game. It’s mind-boggling.
The Timberwolves have made a living winning on the road over these last two playoffs, and they have to smell blood in the water. Win this game and the Timberwolves will have a chance to close things out at home without having to see a Curry return. I’d love to see the Warriors pull off he upset with a game 6 forced a potential return of Curry, but I have no faith in majority of this Warrior’s roster scoring wise. Podziemski is horrific. Give me the Timberwolves.