| MATCHUP | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 37-23 | 37-23 |
| Spread | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 238.5 (-110) | Under 238.5 (-110) |
| Where | Ball Arena, Denver, CO | |
| When | Sunday, March 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ABC | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Sunday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in great form as they’ve won 10 of their last 14 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Clippers in a 94-88 road win on Thursday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 31 points and five assists, Donte DiVincenzo added 18 points with four assists, and Jaden McDaniels chipped in with 12 points.
As a team, the Timberwolves shot 43 percent from the field and eight of 26 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble after scoring just 19 points in the third quarter to start to fall behind before they took over with a 31-20 fourth quarter to escape with the narrow win despite a poor shooting night.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets haven’t been at their best lately, as they’ve lost seven of their last 11 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after falling short to the Thunder in a 127-121 overtime road defeat on Friday. Jamal Murray led the team with 39 points on 12 of 26 shooting; Nikola Jokic racked up a triple-double of 23 points with 17 rebounds and 14 assists, while Christian Braun added 23 points with eight rebounds and two blocks.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 42 percent from the field and 18 of 48 from the 3-point line as they got off to a quick start and led by 16 points early on, but they started to turn the ball over and it came back to bite them in overtime, where they just couldn’t get a stop.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight day games at Ball Arena.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won 12 of their last 13 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last five day games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Timberwolves’ last four games.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games.
Total Points: Facts
- Eight of the Nuggets’ last nine games following an overtime loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Jonas Valanciunas ranks 11th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.0) this season.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 20th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Jaden McDaniels ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.9%) this season.
- Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified centers for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.3%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.1%).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Timberwolves are one of only two teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Timberwolves are keeping an eye on Julius Randle, who is questionable due to lower back spasms, while the Nuggets have ruled out Peyton Watson and Aaron Gordon, with Spencer Jones listed as questionable.
The Timberwolves are heading into this meeting with plenty of winning momentum and they would love to keep it going against the Nuggets, who have been stumbling lately despite getting some players back from injury. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Nuggets winning on each occasion, but the Timberwolves are the hotter team at the moment and I think they get some revenge while the Nuggets are below their best.