| MATCHUP | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 45-29 | 24-50 |
| Spread | -7.5 -105 | +7.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -270 | +220 |
| Total | Over 235.5 (-112) | Under 235.5 (-108) |
| Where | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX | |
| When | Monday, March 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | KFAA-TV | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Rockets, lost to the Pistons, and play the Pistons next. The Timberwolves have won 5 of their last 8 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 117.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.5 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 20.9 points and 5.1 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Nuggets, beat the Trail Blazers and play the Bucks next. The Mavs have lost 24 of their last 29 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.5 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won 15 of their last 16 night games against the Timberwolves following a road win.
- The Timberwolves have lost three of their last five games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 12 home games.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six night games.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last four games at American Airlines Center has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last four games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Khris Middleton is one of only eight players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
- Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Julius Randle is one of only eight qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.
- Donte DiVincenzo ranks 17th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.7%).
- The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.4).
- The Timberwolves rank 28th in the league for free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, and Dereck Lively II. Marvin Bagley III is questionable.
Jaden McDaniels is out for the Timberwolves. Ayo Dosunmu and Anthony Edwards are questionable.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
There’s a chance Edwards returns for the Timberwolves, but this is still a team that I don’t trust night to night, especially in the big favorite role. The Mavs aren’t really trying to win and are still banged up, but the guys who take the floor do play hard. The underdog has covered 7 of the last 10 games between the Timberwolves and Mavericks. The Timberwolves win games but they’re 32-42 ATS on the season and since February 2, they’re 5-9 ATS when favorites of 5 or more points. Give me the Mavs and the buckets.

