Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 4/29/25 NBA Picks

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks are now playing to stay alive after getting trampled by the Pacers in a 129-103 loss in Game 4 on Sunday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 28 points, 15 rebounds and six assists, Kevin Porter Jr added 23 points with five rebounds and six assists while Bobby Portis chipped in with 14 points but no other player finished in double figures in scoring. As a team, the Bucks shot 41 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line, but they were up against it from early on after Damian Lillard left the game injured in the first quarter. The Bucks just couldn’t recover and simply needed a lot more from players like Brook Lopez who had just six points and Kyle Kuzma who finished with just three points on one of six shooting. 

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers must be brimming with confidence after they were able to run past the Bucks so easily in a crucial Game 4 on Sunday. Myles Turner led the team with 23 points on nine of 13 shooting, Andrew Nembhard added 20 points, Tyrese Haliburton scored 17 points with eight rebounds and 15 assists while TJ McConnell chipped in with 15 points and six assists off the bench. As a team, the Pacers shot a sizzling 60 percent from the field and 18 of 39 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Bucks from the start. They outscored them in every quarter to pull off their easiest win of the series. The Pacers were great on defense, and they had a really balanced offense with a total of eight players scoring at least 12 points. 

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Bucks have lost each of their last nine games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
• The Pacers have won each of their last seven night games against the Bucks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last six playoff games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last four Game 5s of a playoff series.
• The Bucks have won five of their last six Game 5s of a playoff series.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in four of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• T.J. McConnell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.9) this season.
• Obi Toppin ranks 5th amongst qualified Forwards for FG% (52.9%) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• Brook Lopez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.9) this season.
• AJ Green ranks 12th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.7%) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Bucks are going to be shorthanded in this one with Damian Lillard out for the rest of the season with a torn Achilles, while the Pacers are keeping an eye on Bennedict Mathurin who is questionable for this one. There’s every chance that the Pacers could come out a little overconfident after they had it so easy in Game 4, but I just don’t see the Bucks having enough to take advantage of that even happens. Antetokounmpo has done his best to carry this team, but he just isn’t getting enough help from his teammates. The Pacers are just one win away from the second round, and I don’t think they will miss out on the chance to finish the job in front of their home fans. Give me the Pacers to get the win and cover at the modest line in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Indiana -7.5