Washington Wizards (2-2) vs Miami Heat (2-2)
November 2, 2024 at 09:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Wizards +8.5 / Miami Heat -8.5 — Over/Under: 226.5
The Miami Heat and Washington Wizards meet Saturday in NBA action at the Arena Ciudad de Mexico. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Pistons, lost to the Knicks, and they play the Suns and Kings next. The Miami Heat are averaging 106 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 22.3 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Terry Rozier is averaging 18.5 points and 5 rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards lost to the Cavaliers, beat the Hawks, and they play the Warriors and Grizzlies next. The Washington Wizards are averaging 118 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 124 points on 48.9 percent shooting. Jordan Poole is averaging 22.5 points and 1.5 rebounds, while Bilal Coulibaly is averaging 18.8 points and 2.8 assists. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonas Valanciunas is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Injury Report
The Heat will be without Duncan Robinson and Kevin Love. The Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma, Saddiq Bey, and Malcolm Brogdon.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Wizards have lost 14 of their last 17 games after winning as underdogs.
- The favorites have won 15 of the Heat’s last 17 games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Saturday night games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Wizards’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the Heat’s last 13 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction
The Miami Heat aren’t consistent enough offensively to trust with big numbers. The Heat are also 4-6-1 ATS in their last 11 games when favorites of 5 or more points. I don’t want to back the Wizards as much as the next guy, but I just don’t trust the Heat from night to night, especially as a favorite. The Heat have issues cracking 100 points most nights, and they’re 26th in field goal percentage. The Heat also won’t have Robinson, one of their best outside shooters, on a team that lacks outside shooting to begin with. This is also a weird game in Mexico, and who knows how that affects the game or the players. I’ll take my chances with the points and call it a day.