| MATCHUP | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 41-38 | 44-35 |
| Spread | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +142 | -170 |
| Total | Over 238.5 (-110) | Under 238.5 (-110) |
| Where | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON | |
| When | Thursday, April 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | FanDuel SN Sun | |
The Miami Heat and the Toronto Raptors duke it out at the Scotiabank Arena on Thursday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat have been doing it tough for a while now, as they’ve dropped nine of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting thrashed by the Raptors in a 121-95 road defeat on Tuesday. Andrew Wiggins led the team with 24 points on eight of 13 shooting; Tyler Herro and Norman Powell each scored 14 points, while no other player finished in double figures in scoring.
As a team, the Heat shot a miserable 36 percent from the field and 12 of 44 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace from the start and trailed by 13 points at halftime and things only got worse in the fourth quarter, where they tailed off. Pelle Larsson had a rough game of just seven points on two of nine shooting, while Bam Adebayo shot just two of 13 from the field for his seven points.
Toronto Raptors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors have been in decent form as they’ve split their last 10 games and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Heat in a dominant win on Tuesday. Scottie Barnes led the team with 25 points, eight rebounds and five assists; Brandon Ingram added 23 points on nine of 16 shooting, while Jakob Poeltl chipped in with 17 points.
As a team, the Raptors shot 49 percent from the field and 12 of 28 from the 3-point line as they swarmed the Heat from the start and poured in 64 points in the first half to jump out to a double-digit lead before they clamped down defensively and held the Heat to just 19 points in the fourth quarter to make it a complete blowout at home.
Why the Toronto Raptors will win
- The Raptors have won 10 of their last 11 home games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost nine of their last 10 night games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Raptors’ last nine games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Raptors teams that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Raptors have lost six of their last seven games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Heat’s last nine games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Raptors’ last six home games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
The Heat are still missing Nikola Jovic with Dru Smith and Norman Powell are both questionable, while the Raptors have ruled out Chucky Hepburn once again. These teams have already clashed three times this season, with the Raptors winning each meeting by double digits and the win on Tuesday was particularly dominant, with the Heat offering little resistance after falling into an early deficit. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row, especially a proud team like the Heat, but with the line so short, I have to stick with the more consistent Raptors to take advantage of a stumbling Heat squad.