Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction 12/9/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Orlando Magic at the Kia Center in the NBA Cup on Tuesday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after getting trounced by the Kings in a 127-111 loss on Saturday. Jaime Jacquez Jr led the team with 27 points, six rebounds and six assists on nine of 15 shooting off the bench, Simone Fontecchio added 20 points while Norman Powell chipped in with 18 points.

As a team, the Heat shot 48 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with a hot-shooting Kings squad. They allowed 72 points in the first half to fall behind by 17 points at halftime. Things only got worse in the third quarter where they trailed by as many as 28 points. Bam Adebayo finished with just nine points while Dru Smith finished with just four points on one of six shooting.

Orlando Magic Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic have been in fine form as they’ve won 10 of their last 14 games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back here after falling just short to the Knicks in a 106-100 road defeat on Sunday. Jalen Suggs led the team with 17 points, Paolo Banchero and Desmond Bane each scored 16 points, while Anthony Black chipped in with 14 points, 11 rebounds and four assists off the bench.

As a team, the Magic shot just 38 percent from the field and 12 of 42 from the 3-point line as they battled the Knicks in a close contest until the fourth quarter, where they fell behind by 16 points. Wendell Carter Jr scored just eight points on two of eight shooting, while Tristan da Silva finished scoreless on zero of seven shooting off the bench. 

Why the Orlando Magic will win

• The Magic have won each of their last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have lost four of their last six games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Heat and Magic.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 road games following a home loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last seven Tuesday games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Magic have lost nine of their last 10 Tuesday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
• The Magic have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Magic’s last four night games against the Heat following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Heat’s last five games as favorites against the Magic have gone OVER the total points line.

Orlando Magic Player Facts

• Jalen Suggs ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
• Anthony Black is one of only seven players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only seven players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• Andrew Wiggins is one of only nine qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Magic rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (29.7).
• This season, 20.1% of the Magic’s scoring has come from the free-throw line – highest mark in the league.
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (96.3).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (32.5).

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction

The Heat are keeping an eye on Dru Smith, who is questionable, while the Magic are still missing Franz Wagner and Moritz Wagner. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Magic winning on both occasions by single digits. The Heat will be eager to get their revenge in this one, but they’ve been on the decline lately, and they didn’t look great in their big loss to the struggling Kings on Saturday.

In contrast, the Magic have been a team on the rise lately, and they were right there with the red-hot Knicks in their last outing. However, they are dealing with a couple key injuries at the moment, which evens things out. It wouldn’t be shocking if the Heat were to pull off the minor upset on the road, but I think the Magic get the job done at home in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Orlando -1