Memphis Grizzlies (42-24) vs Miami Heat (29-37)
March 15, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -7.5 — Over/Under: 229
The Miami Heat travel to the FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to snap a six-game slide after getting routed by the Celtics in a 103-91 home defeat last night. Andrew Wiggins led the team with 23 points on nine of 21 shooting, Tyler Herro added 19 points with six assists while Jaime Jacquez Jr chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they got off to a solid start and really took the fight to the Celtics for most of the contest. Until they went ice-cold and scored just 14 points in the fourth quarter to allow the Celtics to pull away in another disappointing finish. The Heat will face the Knicks following this one.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies were starting to heat up as they were on a four-game win streak before they got stopped in their tracks by the surging Cavaliers in a 133-124 home defeat last night. Ja Morant tried his best to carry the team with 44 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists on 17 of 22 shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr and Brandon Clarke scored 13 points each while Desmond Bane chipped in with 12 points, but no other player scored more than seven points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 49 percent from the field and 11 of 36 from the 3-point line, but they had no answers for the Cavaliers’ elite ball movement. They leaked 75 points in the first half to trail by as many as 25 points, before they finished with a flurry of points in the fourth quarter to cut the margin to single digits in the final seconds.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games at FedExForum against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games following a home loss.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Heat’s last eight games at FedExForum.
- The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Grizzlies’ last 10 games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.6).
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (32.1).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
- The Heat are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points at HT this season.
Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
The Heat are still missing Alec Burks and Nikola Jovic, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Santi Aldama for this one. Both teams are playing this one on zero days’ rest, but the Grizzlies have a slight advantage in that they won’t have to travel at all. The Grizzlies are also the healthier team, and they were on a roll before they ran into the Cavaliers, who are just crushing everyone these days. The Heat were really competitive against the Celtics for most of last night’s game, but they still ended up losing by double digits, and I think we’re going to see a similar result here. The Grizzlies’ role players were nowhere to be seen last night, but I expect them to bounce back in a big win for the Grizzlies.