Miami (4-3) vs Denver (4-2)
November 5, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Denver -9.5 — Over/Under: +242.5
The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Pick.
The Miami Heat lost to the Lakers, beat the Clippers, and they play the Hornets next. The Heat have won 12 their last 19 regular season games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 124 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 22 points and 3.2 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.
The Denver Nuggets beat the Kings, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Warriors next. The Nuggets have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124 points on 51.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 24.2 points and 5 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.7 points and 13.2 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 85.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 54.8 rebounds per game.
The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis.
The Nuggets are going to be big favorites at home against pretty much anybody, and they’ve won 9 of the last 10 games against the Heat. The Heat haven’t beat the Nuggets since June 2023. However, this line is ridiculous. The Heat have been one of the biggest surprises in the league up to this point, with an offense that’s top-five in points and field goal percentage. The defense is fifth in field goal percentage allowed. Powell is back from injury, which helps as well. The Heat look sharp. This line is disrespectful. Give me the points.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Lakers, beat the Clippers, and they play the Hornets next. The Heat have won 12 their last 19 regular season games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 124 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 22 points and 3.2 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Kings, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Warriors next. The Nuggets have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124 points on 51.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 24.2 points and 5 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.7 points and 13.2 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 85.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 54.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Heat.
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ball Arena.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Heat have won each of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games after winning as underdogs.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Nuggets’ last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Tim Hardaway Jr. has recorded three games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Jamal Murray ranks 2nd amongst qualified Guards for FT% (95.7%) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Norman Powell is one of only four qualified players in the league shooting at least 50% from the field, 40% from three and 90% from the free-throw line this season.
- Simone Fontecchio ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (5.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 2nd in the league for points per game this season (125.0).
- The Nuggets rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.4%).
- Nine different Heat players have scored 15+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (105.4).
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report
The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are going to be big favorites at home against pretty much anybody, and they’ve won 9 of the last 10 games against the Heat. The Heat haven’t beat the Nuggets since June 2023. However, this line is ridiculous. The Heat have been one of the biggest surprises in the league up to this point, with an offense that’s top-five in points and field goal percentage. The defense is fifth in field goal percentage allowed. Powell is back from injury, which helps as well. The Heat look sharp. This line is disrespectful. Give me the points.