| MATCHUP | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-6 | 10-2 |
| Spread | +13.5 -109 | -13.5 -111 |
| Moneyline | +558 | -800 |
| Total | Over 217.5 (-110) | Under 217.5 (-110) |
| Where | TD Garden, Boston, MA | |
| When | Sunday, November 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | KFAA-TV | |
Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction
The Celtics are the better team and should be favored at home. They’re 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games. However, the Celtics have a history of coming up small as double-digit favorites. Due to the Celtics’ style of play, they’re hard to trust with big numbers. Because the Celtics shoot so many threes, they can go cold offensively, and it allows teams to close the gap.
The Mavs have quietly been a decent team up to this point, and they’ve defended at an OK clip for the most part. Kyrie’s return to Boston is always fun, and we know that adds a little extra to this matchup. I’m going to grab the points. I just don’t trust the Celtics in big favorite roles.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Timberwolves and Cavs, and they play the Warriors next. The Mavs have won 6 of their last 9 games. The Mavs are 2-4 SU on the road, 5-2 SU at home, and 7-6 ATS this season.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.5 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.4 points per game on 48.9 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 24.6 points and 6.5 assists per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.6 points and 3.2 rebounds per game. P.J. Washington is averaging 14.3 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall is averaging 11.3 points and 4.4 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Raptors and 76ers, and they play the Magic next. The Celtics have won 23 of their last 28 games. The Celtics are 5-2 SU on the road, 5-0 SU at home, and 7-5 ATS on the season.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 114.3 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 103.1 points per game on 41.9 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.3 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. Paul George is averaging 22 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Payton Pritchard is averaging 13.3 points and 3.3 rebounds per game. Derrick White is averaging 12.8 points and 5.3 assists per game. The Boston Celtics are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Mavericks vs Celtics Injury Report
The Celtics don’t have any players listed on their main roster.
Tarik Biberovic is out for the Mavs with a heel injury. Sergio De Larrea is out with a knee injury. Dereck Lively is out with a foot injury. Caleb Martin is available despite a thumb issue. Morez Johnson Jr. is probable despite a shin issue.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 16 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The favorites have won each of the Celtics’ last 11 games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Celtics have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Celtics’ last seven games at TD Garden following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Celtics have made the playoffs in 12 consecutive seasons- the longest active streak in the NBA.
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (25.4).
- The Mavericks are one of three teams to rank in the top-10 for both steals and blocks per game this season.
- The Mavericks rank T3rd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (61.5%).