| MATCHUP | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Spread | +7.5 -114 | -7.5 -106 |
| Moneyline | +230 | -281 |
| Total | Over 235.5 (-114) | Under 235.5 (-106) |
| Where | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA | |
| When | Thursday, November 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBA TV | |
Heat vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors should be favored at home with the rest advantage. The Heat are coming off a last-second win over the Clippers that included overtime. It will be interesting to see how the Heat rebound from an emotional win and if the play will ever improve. The offense still looks clunky, and the defense continues to struggle. It’s not great. However, the Heat still have talent, and you’re kind of still waiting for things to come together.
As I’ve said before, I’m still not a fan of this Warriors roster. Also, the Heat have won 5 of the last 7 games against the Warriors, and you can argue this Miami team is more talented than it has been in past years. This is a lot of points. I’ll grab them with the Heat on Thursday night.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Clippers, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Kings next. The Heat have won 3 of their last 4 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 118 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 122.9 points on 48.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.4 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.3 points and 3.4 assists. Davion Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer, and Klay Thompson is grabbing 1.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 40.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors beat the Clippers and Suns, and they play the Magic next. The Warriors have won 5 straight games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 114.6 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 30 points and 4.5 assists, while Yaxel Lendeborg averages 21.5 points and 3.9 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Williams is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven games following an overtime win.
- The Warriors have won 14 of their last 15 home games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games following an overtime win.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games following a win.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have won three of their last four games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games at Chase Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last four games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Draymond Green ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (6.3) this season.
- Yaxel Lendeborg ranks T9th amongst qualified players for second-chance points per game (3.5) this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (5.9) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.9).
- The Warriors have used seven different starting fives this season- the most in the league.
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (17.1).
- Heat players have recorded the most games with 30+ points (6) this season.