New Orleans Pelicans (20-53) vs Golden State Warriors (41-31)
Game Info: Friday, March 28, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Smoothie King Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: New Orleans Pelicans +13.5 — Over/Under: 223.5
The Golden State Warriors and New Orleans Pelicans meet on Friday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Hawks and Heat, and they play the Spurs, Grizzlies, and Lakers next. The Warriors look to avoid three straight losses for the first time since December 23-27. Six of the Warriors’ last seven losses have come on the road.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.4 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24.2 points and 6 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 17.6 points and 6.5 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Pistons, beat the 76ers, and they play the Hornets, Clippers, and Lakers next. The Pelicans have nothing to play for and have lost 10 of their last 14 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 24.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Boston is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The home team has won eight of the Warriors’ last nine games.
- The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last 17 Friday night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (48.4%).
- The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (40.0).
- The Warriors rank 28th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (26.8).
- The Warriors rank 4th in the league for rebounds per game this season (45.5).
Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report
The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, and Brandon Boston.
The Warriors are without Gary Payton II, while Stephen Curry is questionable due to a pelvis injury.
Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
The Warriors will be eager to rebound from an embarrassing effort against the Heat, but this line is a bit rich when we’re not sure if Curry is going to play. The Warriors have issues creating offense without their best player, and they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a double-digit favorite. The Pelicans have nothing to play for, and they’re still down many key players, so I understand the line. I’m still not laying this number with the Warriors in their current form and how they’ve handled big lines all season. Give me the Pelicans and the points.