Golden State (4-1) vs Milwaukee (3-1)
October 30, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee +2.5 — Over/Under: +231.5
The Golden State Warriors and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors beat the Grizzlies and Clippers, and they’ll play the Pacers next. The Warriors have won 11 of their last 15 regular season games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 120.8 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 49 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27 points and 5 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 21.4 points and 4.8 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandin Podziemski is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 40.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Knicks, lost to the Cavs, and they play the Kings next. The Bucks have won 11 of their last 12 regular season games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 122.3 points on 52 percent shooting and allowing 116.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 36.3 points and 14 rebounds, while Ryan Rollins is averaging 15.3 points and 3.8 rebounds. Gary Trent Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and AJ Green is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 72.9 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won 16 of their last 17 games at Fiserv Forum against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Fiserv Forum.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
- The Bucks have lost four of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Bucks teams that held a winning record.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the Bucks’ last 12 games at Fiserv Forum following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Cole Anthony ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (7.0) this season.
- Myles Turner ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.5) this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Jimmy Butler has recorded five games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Jonathan Kuminga ranks T37th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank T1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (100.0%).
- The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (39) this season.
- The Warriors rank T1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (80.0%).
- This season, 43.2% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
The Bucks will be without Kevin Porter Jr. due to an ankle injury.
The Warriors are without De’Anthony Melton and Alex Toohey. Moses Moody is questionable with a thumb injury.
Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
The Warriors are getting a lot of respect lately and while they have played well, I’m still interested to see if this sort of play carries over to the road. Beating the banged up Lakers and young Trail Blazers doesn’t move the needle for me. The Bucks were slept on entering the season, and it feels like oddsmakers haven’t adjusted yet. That win over the Knicks should’ve turned heads. Antetokounmpo pounding his chest and screaming Milwaukee is his city indicates he’s on a different type of time right now. While I like what I’m seeing from the Warriors right now, the Bucks as home dogs is where I lean in terms of value. Give me the bucket.