| MATCHUP | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-7 | 8-6 |
| Spread | +6.5 -112 | -6.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +190 | -230 |
| Total | Over 230.5 (-118) | Under 230.5 (-102) |
| Where | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | |
| When | Wednesday, November 19, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | FanDuel SN Sun | |
The Miami Heat play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Kaseya Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in pretty good form as they’ve won four of their last six games overall. However, they will be looking to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Magic in a 121-113 road defeat last night. Stephen Curry drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 34 points on 12 of 23 shooting. Jimmy Butler III added 33 points with seven rebounds and four assists while Draymond Green chipped in with 12 points, but no other player finished in double figures in scoring.
As a team, the Warriors shot 50 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they played well enough to keep the margin within single digits despite the lack of help from their role players. Until the third quarter where the Magic started to pull away. No bench player scored more than nine points and Moses Moody finished with just six points on two of six shooting in 30 minutes of action.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won five of their last eight games and they will be eager to keep it going after sneaking past the Knicks in a thrilling 115-113 home win on Monday. Norman Powell led the team with 19 points on nine of 20 shooting, Davion Mitchell added 18 points with five assists while Kel’el Ware chipped in with 16 points and 14 rebounds on seven of nine shooting.
As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they scrapped and fought their way to a 10-point lead late in the fourth quarter. They held on for the narrow win after the Knicks cut their lead to just one point with 22.3 seconds left on the clock.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The home team has won six of the Heat’s last seven games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Kaseya Center following a home win.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won five of their last six games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Heat have lost seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in five of their last six games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last nine Wednesday games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last four games as road underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Warriors are still missing Jonathan Kuminga and De’Anthony Melton, while the Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro and they have Bam Adebayo upgraded to questionable for this one. The Warriors are playing their second game of a back to back set, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they rested some players in this one, especially when you consider their age. With that being said, the Heat are favorites at home, they are coming off an impressive win over the Knicks and they could have Adebayo back in the lineup. The line could shift come tip off, but as it stands I prefer a play on the Heat to get the win and cover at home.