| MATCHUP | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-4 | 13-6 |
| Spread | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +154 | -185 |
| Total | Over 240.5 (-105) | Under 240.5 (-115) |
| Where | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FanDuel SN DET Ext | |
The Detroit Pistons travel to the Kaseya Center to do battle with the Miami Heat on Saturday night. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons looked to have cooled off a bit from their impressive 13-game win streak as they are now on a two-game losing streak after falling just short to the Magic in a 112-109 loss last night. Cade Cunningham led the team with a triple-double of 39 points with 13 rebounds and 11 assists on 13 of 26 shooting, Tobias Harris added 18 points while Jalen Duren tallied 16 points with 12 rebounds.
As a team, the Pistons shot 44 percent from the field and 11 of 28 from the 3-point line as they rallied back from a 10-point deficit to take the lead with just 2:48 in the fourth quarter before the Magic closed the game on a 7-3 run to snatch the game away at the end. Duncan Robinson had a rough game as he shot just three of 12 from the field to finish with just nine points. He had a shot to tie the game at the end of the fourth quarter before his shot got blocked.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been on a tear as they’ve won nine of their last 11 games overall. They will be eager to build on their current six-game win streak after sneaking past the Bucks in a 106-103 win on Wednesday. Tyler Herro led the team with 29 points and seven assists on nine of 15 shooting, Bam Adebayo added 17 points with 11 rebounds while Andrew Wiggins and Norman Powell each scored 11 points.
As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 36 from the 3-point line as they played great defense to keep the Bucks to just 20 points in the second quarter to set up a 12-point lead in the fourth quarter. This proved to be just enough in the end as the Heat had to hold their breaths as the Bucks missed on the potential game tying shot with 5.7 seconds left on the clock.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Pistons have lost each of their last seven games at Kaseya Center against Heat teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have won nine of their last 10 home games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Heat have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Pistons have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Pistons and Heat at Kaseya Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last four home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Pistons’ last four road games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Bam Adebayo is one of only 16 qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.
- Tyler Herro leads all Heat players for points per 36 minutes (30.9) this season.
Detroit Pistons Player Facts
- Ausar Thompson is one of only 12 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.
- Duncan Robinson ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (97.2).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (33.2).
- The Pistons rank T1st for points in the paint (1092) this season.
- The Pistons rank T1st for points in the paint per game (57.5) this season.
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Pistons are still missing Bobi Klintman and Marcus Sasser, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Jaime Jacquez Jr who is questionable with a groin injury. The Pistons were the hottest team in the Eastern Conference before they got stopped in their tracks by the Magic last night despite a triple-double from Cunningham. But it’s the Heat who open as slight favorites as they’ve reeled off nine wins from their past 11 games.
These teams have yet to meet this season, but the Pistons have won the last three meetings between these teams. I think that trend continues here as the Pistons have looked like the better team so far this season, and I think they bounce back and pull off the minor upset in this one.